How to hedge risk with futures contracts
Suppose that you are a portfolio manager and you expect that some investors of your fund will cash out their investments in the next three months. How would you use S&P 500 futures to hedge the risk of changing stock prices?
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if you however insist on using futures, you could sell S&P 500 futures with a certain ratio (no of stocks bought/no of futures sold) that you can derive from GARCH(1,1) hedge (a modeling of futures and spot prices, conditional hedge ratio=covariance of futures and spot hedge / futures hedge, use MATLAB). if you’re not familiar with GARCH (1,1) hedge you could do a naive hedge (selling 1 futures for every stock bought) but of course it’s not a good hedge.
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